James Liang argues that substantially increasing childcare subsidies is crucial to reversing China's shrinking population.

James Liang says boosting the subsidy is crucial to reversing China’s shrinking population.

James Liang argues that a first-rate team matters more than first-rate technology for a company's effectiveness.

A first-rate technology paired with a second-rate team is less effective than second-rate technology paired with a first-rate team.

Original (zh)

“一个一流的技术与二流团队的组合在效能上比不上二流技术与一流团队的组合。”

James Liang argues that childbearing is a matter of national importance and that compulsory education should be extended into a compulsory child-rearing system covering the whole growth cycle.

生育行为既是普通家庭的家事，也是关系到整个社会长期发展的国事，当下很有必要把已经实施多年的义务教育体系进一步延伸，拓展到覆盖全成长周期的义务养育阶段。

Liang estimates that, citing South Korea's example, strong fertility support could raise China's fertility rate to 1.5 and restore births to about 12 million a year.

If welfare support is adequate, China's total fertility rate could climb from below 1 back to 1.5, and annual births could return from about 8 million to 12 million; even cash subsidies alone could lift births by 20-30%.

Original (zh)

如果福利力度到位，中国总和生育率有机会从目前的低于1，爬回1.5；换算成每年新出生的孩子，就是从八百万左右重新回到一千二百万。哪怕不做别的改革，光是发现金补贴，他估计出生人口也能回升两到三成。

James Liang warned that without early intervention on China's population decline, India's population could be three times China's by around 2063.

If the population problem is not addressed with early intervention, by around 2063 India's total population could reach three times that of China.

Original (zh)

如果人口问题得不到尽早干预，到2063年前后，印度人口的总量有可能达到中国的三倍。